Allyson Hoffman's Real Estate Update

North Shore Suburban Monthly Market Update

 

As the year end approaches with the holidays just around the corner, we are finding that prices in Chicago's Northern and North Shore Suburbs remain flat with sales still substantially off the pace of prior years.  Condos and townhomes, on average, are selling at 8% less than a year ago while freestanding homes show an average 12% drop from the 2007 price point.

Average market times are holding steady at 6 months for all types of residential housing.  This is an increase of 1-2 months as compared to last year.  Additionally, closed sales, pending sales and new contracts are all off the 2007 pace with price reductions almost double the number from a year ago.  One bright spot is the downward trend in inventory levels as compared to only a few months ago, but this may partly be an artificial change resulting from homeowners taking their homes off the market through the holidays.  Currently, we have 26 available properties for every one that is selling which translates to about 22 months of inventory based upon the current rate of demand.

These facts combined with exceptionally low interest rates make this a particularly favorable market for buyers and first time buyers can also benefit from special credits that are now offered through the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008.  For additional details, feel free to check the government website at:

http://www.FederalHousingTaxCredit.com 

 

 

Northern Shore Suburban Chicago Attached Housing
Date
New
Listings
Closed
Sales

Average
List
Price

Average
Closed
Price
Average
Market
Time

12 Mo
Price
Change

11/08
4216
1112
$350,688
$318,709
172
-8.00%
11/07
4822
1701
$361,573
$340,732
134
 

Northern Shore Suburban Chicago Detached Housing
Date
New
Listings
Closed
Sales

Average
List
Price

Average
Closed
Price
Average
Market
Time

12 Mo
Price
Change

11/08
7977
2356
$882,464
$778,378
178
-12.00%
11/07
9214
2972
$982,031
$887,955
154
 

*This representation is based in whole or in part on data supplied by various Participants in the MREDLLC for the period 1/1/08 through 11/30/08. MREDLLC does not guarantee nor is it in any way responsible for its accuracy. Data maintained by the MREDLLC may not reflect all real estate activity in the market.

Those interested in buying will have an abundant selection of properties from which to choose and with historically low interest rates  for conventional borrowers, this is definitely the time to consider making a move before the anticipated future inflation pressures potentially again lead to higher interest rates and correspondingly higher costs of home ownership.

Sellers need to plan for long market times and remember that the critical components of success in this market include extremely good pricing, extremely good exposure, extremely good condition and very easy access for showing.  Successful sellers are typically the ones offering  “the most for the least”.   If you are considering buying or selling or, alternately, if you are just interested in the property value of your home or a home that interests you, please feel free to send an email request to me at allyson@allyson.com and I will gladly set up a personalized webpage with data designed specifically for your home, a home that interests you or for a personalized new home search profile that matches your unique criteria.

 
Interested in knowing what the market is like?  Click Here to view the latest quarterly median home price for your market, and its percentage change from the previous quarter.

 

Real Estate Outlook: What's in Store for 2009?

What will the new year bring for housing and real estate? It's easy to look at all the negative economic news in the headlines and say - there's no sign that 2009 is going to be any better than 2008.

But here's a different perspective to consider from one of the country's veteran financial analysts -- Richard Bove of Ladenburg Thalmann, an investment banking company.

In a research report issued late in December, Bove said he sees a positive dynamic taking shape in the current cycle. The government has intervened aggressively in the markets to push interest rates down -- most notably in the home mortgage sector.

Though it takes awhile for low-cost money to begin having its effect, Bove said he expects "housing prices to stabilize and/or rise (in 2009) after a likely boom in mortgage refinancings as rates fall and loan applications increase."

Add in the expected massive economic stimulus package being put together on Capitol Hill with the incoming Obama administration -- and there's a good chance we're going to see a gradual transformation of the downward cycle into a slow rebound over the coming several quarters.

Already there are positive signs of the turnaround Bove predicts:

  • Mortgage applications are off the charts, mainly for refis but also to buy houses at affordable prices.
  • Rates continue to hover at 50-year lows - five percent and even four and three quarters percent for 30-year mortgages, and still lower for 15 and 20 year mortgage terms.
  • Plus we're all paying a lot less at the gas pump, and sharply discounted prices for retail goods and autos.
  • And guess what? Americans are actually SAVING again, the national savings rate took a nearly three percent jump last month. That might sound small, but it's hugely important if it is the start of a trend.

There are also some signs that housing prices are stabilizing in some parts of the country. The latest monthly Federal Housing Finance Agency index found home prices UP by six-tenths of a percent in the Mountain states and UP by two tenths of a percent in New England.

You can ridicule small regional gains as statistically irrelevant, but here's an economic proposal to you for the New Year: Keep your eyes open for the small positive signs that are accumulating out there … because all downcycles tail off and come to an end.

The smartest players in real estate -- consumers and the industry - will make the most of the positives -- low-cost money, low prices, stabilizing local markets -- and thrive in the new year.


Written by Kenneth R. Harney


 

My Real Estate CyberTips is another great resource.
It's not just about real estate!       

Real Estate CyberTips Newsletter  

Good Time To Buy A Vacation Home

In seaside Ocean City, MD, where 91 percent of the homes are vacation home properties, owners were buoyed by the prospect of reduced property taxes after assessed values dropped 36 to 45 percent over the last three years, according to county officials.

Scouting the slopes in Colorado's ski resort areas of Aspen, Beaver Creek, Steamboat and Vail will uncover some home prices in the toniest areas still holding steady, but overall sales are down by about 40 percent, according to a University of Colorado's real estate center.

In Maui, both home prices and sales are down about 25 percent each, according to the island's real estate association.

And don't forget California's resort areas. Home prices in the Golden State are down by 50 percent or more in many locations.

That's only the beginning. Lower prices and less competition are the tip of the iceberg-sized list of factors that make it a good time to consider a vacation home buy.

"In many vacation markets, you can pick up a beach condo or a mountain cabin at a decent price. In some markets, homes are back to 2000 prices," said vacation home guru Christine Karpinski, director of Owner Community for HomeAway.com (an online vacation home rental Web site).

She says a host of market conditions have converged to make buying a second home a smart move right about now.

Take the stock market. Please.

"Stock market woes have always pushed people to look for alternate investments, and real estate is a consistent stronghold," she says. "Yes, home values are down right now but they have always rebounded. I wouldn't recommend buying a second home with the expectation of flipping it for a quick buck, but if you hang onto it for a while -- and better still, turn it into a vacation rental property -- you'll make a nice profit," Karpinski says.

 Interest rates are cooperating.

  • On Dec. 24 Freddie Mac's Primary Mortgage Market Survey revealed 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hadn't been lower since Freddie Mac started the survey in 1971. "Rates have been reasonably low for awhile, following earlier rate cuts toward the beginning of the year. That's good news for anyone who's in the market for a mortgage," Karpinski added.

     The pressure of bidding wars is off.

  • "Housing bubble or no housing bubble, you're not going to get bargain basement prices on, say, a cottage right on the ocean—but if you're willing to buy a few rows back, you'll likely find that prices have fallen substantially," notes Karpinski. "Because houses aren't flying off the shelf, there's less pressure on you to make a quick decision. You can afford to take your time, do your research, and refine your plan," she added.

    Vacation rental demand is on.

  • Economic pressures on travel budgets are forcing those who once traveled abroad to stick closer to home. To further save travel dollars, domestic travelers want the most bang for their getaway bucks. Vacation homes provide all the comforts and options of home (eating in, game rooms, wirelessness, etc.), often at a per-person rate that's cheaper than a hotel.

    Karpinski says, "Vacation homes tend to be less expensive than hotel rooms. This is especially true if you're traveling with extended family or a group of friends. Not incidentally, in many areas of the country, rental demand exceeds supply. The Sunshine State (Florida) is a prime example. Buy a vacation home in a market like Cape Coral, Daytona, Destin, Fort Lauderdale, Indian Rocks Beach, Kissimmee, Madeira Beach, Orlando, Panama City Beach, Sanibel Island, West Palm Beach, or Windsor Hills, and you can't lose."

    The weak dollar makes American destinations attractive to European travelers and others holding stronger currencies. Also, business travel continues to generate vacation rental income -- especially when foreign business associates come calling.

    "It's a far more comfortable option; plus many companies work out deals with homeowners whereby they can get volume discounts," said Karpinski

    A vacation home can pay for itself.

  • When your monthly mortgage payment is less than or equal to one peak week rental, twelve weeks of rental will cover your mortgage payments for the entire year. Other costs, including bills for your phone, power, cable, and association dues, may be paid out of your earnings from approximately five off-week rentals, Karpinski says.

  • The calculations don't consider the added cost of a property manger you may need if you are not a do-it-yourselfer. Despite the convergence of positive factors pointing to an opportunity to buy a second or vacations home, the fundamentals still apply. Strong credit, low debt, high savings and other assets are a plus.


    Written by Broderick Perkins


  •  

    For the uninformed, blogging is hitting the Internet today and making a real impact! What is a blog? An easy explanation of this is a WEB LOG or a journal on the web … it’s a place where folks can “voice” their thoughts, share ideas, or comment on those of others. The Northern Suburbs of Chicago now has such a blog where new items of interest will be posted and where comments can be made. Topics can range from those related to real estate and community highlights to local events of interest or anything personal or business related that might be perceived as worthwhile information for public knowledge, discussion and/or use. It’s even possible to subscribe to a blog of interest and receive textual updates on your iPod! Check out the latest updates for the Northern Chicago Suburbs at:

    http://www.realestatenorthernillinois.com/blog.asp

     

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